HEAT INDEX FORMULA
The Heat Index "Equation"
(or, More Than You Ever Wanted to Know About Heat Index)
Lans P. Rothfusz
Scientific Services Division
NWS Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX
When summer spreads its oppressive ridge over most of the United
State's Southern Region, NWS phones ring off their hooks with
questions about the Heat Index. Many questions regard the actual
equation used in calculating the Heat Index. Some callers are
satisfied with the response that it is extremely complicated. Some
are satisfied with the nomogram (see chart).
-
HEAT INDEX °F
(°C) |
|
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (%) |
Temp. |
40 |
45 |
50 |
55 |
60 |
65 |
70 |
75 |
80 |
85 |
90 |
95 |
100 |
110
(47) |
136
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
108
(43) |
130
(54) |
137
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
106
(41) |
124
(51) |
130
(54) |
137
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
104
(40) |
119
(48) |
124
(51) |
131
(55) |
137
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
102
(39) |
114
(46) |
119
(48) |
124
(51) |
130
(54) |
137
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100
(38) |
109
(43) |
114
(46) |
118
(48) |
124
(51) |
129
(54) |
136
(58) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98
(37) |
105
(41) |
109
(43) |
113
(45) |
117
(47) |
123
(51) |
128
(53) |
134
(57) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
96
(36) |
101
(38) |
104
(40) |
108
(42) |
112
(44) |
116
(47) |
121
(49) |
126
(52) |
132
(56) |
|
|
|
|
|
94
(34) |
97
(36) |
100
(38) |
103
(39) |
106
(41) |
110
(43) |
114
(46) |
119
(48) |
124
(51) |
129
(54) |
135
(57) |
|
|
|
92
(33) |
94
(34) |
96
(36) |
99
(37) |
101
(38) |
105
(41) |
108
(42) |
112
(44) |
116
(47) |
121
(49) |
126
(52) |
131
(55) |
|
|
90
(32) |
91
(33) |
93
(34) |
95
(35) |
97
(36) |
100
(38) |
103
(39) |
106
(41) |
109
(43) |
113
(45) |
117
(47) |
122
(50) |
127
(53) |
132
(56) |
88
(31) |
88
(31) |
89
(32) |
91
(33) |
93
(34) |
95
(35) |
98
(37) |
100
(38) |
103
(39) |
106
(41) |
110
(43) |
113
(45) |
117
(47) |
121
(49) |
86
(30) |
85
(29) |
87
(31) |
88
(31) |
89
(32) |
91
(33) |
93
(34) |
95
(35) |
97
(36) |
100
(38) |
102
(39) |
105
(41) |
108
(42) |
112
(44) |
84
(29) |
83
(28) |
84
(29) |
85
(29) |
86
(30) |
88
(31) |
89
(32) |
90
(32) |
92
(33) |
94
(34) |
96
(36) |
98
(37) |
100
(38) |
103
(39) |
82
(28) |
81
(27) |
82
(28) |
83
(28) |
84
(29) |
84
(29) |
85
(29) |
86
(30) |
88
(31) |
89
(32) |
90
(32) |
91
(33) |
93
(34) |
95
(35) |
80
(27) |
80
(27) |
80
(27) |
81
(27) |
81
(27) |
82
(28) |
82
(28) |
83
(28) |
84
(29) |
84
(29) |
85
(29) |
86
(30) |
86
(30) |
87
(31) |
|
Category |
Heat
Index |
Possible
heat disorders for people in high risk
groups |
Extreme
Danger |
130°F or
higher
(54°C or higher) |
Heat stroke
or sunstroke likely. |
Danger |
105 - 129°F
(41 - 54°C) |
Sunstroke,
muscle cramps, and/or heat exhaustion
likely. Heatstroke possible with prolonged
exposure and/or physical activity. |
Extreme
Caution |
90 - 105°F
(32 - 41°C) |
Sunstroke,
muscle cramps, and/or heat exhaustion
possible with prolonged exposure and/or
physical activity. |
Caution |
80 - 90°F
(27 - 32°C) |
Fatigue
possible with prolonged exposure and/or
physical activity. |
|
Chart by Lans Rothfusz, MIC at NWS Tulsa, OK
But, there are a few who will settle for nothing less than the
equation itself. No true equation for the Heat Index exists. Heat
Index values are derived from a collection of equations that
comprise a model. This Technical Attachment presents an equation
that approximates the Heat Index and, thus, should satisfy the
latter group of callers.
The Heat Index (or apparent temperature) is the result of
extensive biometeorological studies. The
parameters involved in its calculation are shown below (from
Steadman, 1979). Each of these parameters
can be described by an equation but they are given assumed
magnitudes (in parentheses) in order to
simplify the model.
# Vapor pressure. Ambient vapor pressure of the atmosphere. (1.6 kPa)
# Dimensions of a human. Determines the skin's surface area. (5' 7"
tall, 147 pounds)
# Effective radiation area of skin. A ratio that depends upon skin
surface area. (0.80)
# Significant diameter of a human. Based on the body's volume and
density. (15.3 cm)
# Clothing cover. Long trousers and short-sleeved shirt is assumed.
(84% coverage)
# Core temperature. Internal body temperature. (98.6°F)
# Core vapor pressure. Depends upon body's core temperature and
salinity. (5.65 kPa)
# Surface temperatures and vapor pressures of skin and clothing.
Affects heat transfer from the
skin's surface either by radiation or convection. These values are
determined by an iterative process.
# Activity. Determines metabolic output. (180 W m-2 of skin area for
the model person walking
outdoors at a speed of 3.1 mph)
# Effective wind speed. Vector sum of the body's movement and an
average wind speed. Angle
between vectors influences convection from skin surface (below). (5
kts)
# Clothing resistance to heat transfer. The magnitude of this value
is based on the assumption that
the clothing is 20% fiber and 80% air.
# Clothing resistance to moisture transfer. Since clothing is mostly
air, pure vapor diffusion is used
here.
# Radiation from the surface of the skin. Actually, a radiative
heat-transfer coefficient determined
from previous studies.
# Convection from the surface of the skin. A convection coefficient
also determined from previous
studies. Influenced by kinematic viscosity of air and angle of wind.
# Sweating rate. Assumes that sweat is uniform and not dripping from
the body.
As an aside, these assumptions are important for the forecaster to
keep in mind. For example, a
common perception is that wind is not taken into account in the Heat
Index. In actuality it is. It is assumed
to be 5 knots. This may seem trivial but a forecaster may be able to
use this information creatively when
writing Public Information Statements regarding heat stress, heat
stroke, etc.
# Ventilation rate. The amount of heat lost via exhaling. (2-12%,
depending upon humidity)
# Skin resistance to heat transfer. A function of activity, skin
temperature, among others.
# Skin resistance to moisture transfer. A function of the
vapor-pressure difference across the skin
(and, therefore, relative humidity). It decreases with increasing
activity.
# Surface resistance to heat transfer. As radiation and convection
from the skin increases, this value
decreases.
# Surface resistance to moisture transfer. Similar to heat transfer
resistance but also depends upon
conditions in the boundary layer just above skin's surface.
These last five variables are used explicitly to derive the
apparent temperature. By an iterative
procedure which relies on the assumptions in the first list, the
model is reduced to a relationship between
dry bulb temperature (at different humidities) and the skin's
resistance to heat and moisture transfer. Since
these resistances are directly related to skin temperature, we now
have a relationship between ambient
temperature and relative humidity versus skin (or apparent)
temperature. As a result of this procedure,
there is a base relative humidity at which an apparent temperature
(e.g., 90°F) "feels" like the same air
temperature (90°F). Increasing (decreasing) humidity and temperature
result in increasing (decreasing)
apparent temperature, and, yes, apparent temperature can be lower
than air temperature. Steadman
(1979) developed a table based on this relationship and the nomogram
(above) summarizes that
table.
In order to arrive at an equation which uses more conventional
independent variables, a multiple
regression analysis was performed on the data from Steadman's table.
The resulting equation could be
considered a Heat Index equation, although it is obtained in a
"round-about" way. Thus, here is an ersatz
version of the Heat Index equation:
HI = -42.379 +
2.04901523T + 10.14333127R - 0.22475541TR - 6.83783x10-3T2
-5.481717x10-2R2 + 1.22874x10-3T2R
+ 8.5282x10-4TR2 - 1.99x10-6T2R2
where T =
ambient dry bulb temperature (°F)
R = relative humidity (integer percentage)
Because this equation is obtained by multiple regression
analysis, the heat index value (HI) has an error
of ±1.3°F. Even though temperature and relative humidity are the
only two variables in the equation, all
the variables on the lists above are implied.
References
Steadman, R.G., 1979: The assessment of sultriness. Part I: A
temperature-humidity index based on
human physiology and clothing science. J. Appl. Meteor., 18,
861-873.
HEAT
INDEX CALCULATOR
|